September rainfall is predicted to be below normal across India (Representative image)
The Met department said August, which reported a deficit of more than 16% in monthly rainfall in the country despite good rains in certain parts, was the warmest August in India since 1901, recording a mean temperature of 28.01 degrees Celsius. So far, the country as a whole reported a deficit of 14% in cumulative (June 1-Aug 31) rainfall, despite ‘normal’ rainfall in July. NEW DELHI: Monthly rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be ‘below normal’ in September, the last month of the monsoon season, said IMD on Monday, an indication that the four-month rainy season is likely to end with overall deficient cumulative (June-Sept) rainfall as predicted earlier with high probability due to the impact of El Nino.
“These conditions are expected to strengthen further in the coming months,” said Mohapatra, hinting at its negative impact on September rainfall.

Rainfall forecast for September 2026 In June, the deficit was as high as 35%. Out of a total of 741 districts assessed for monsoon rainfall distribution, 312 districts (42%) received ‘below normal’ rainfall and 38 districts (5%) reported large deficient rainfall till Aug 31. A forecast of ‘below normal’ rainfall in Sept may lead to a deficit in overall kharif crop acreage.


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